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THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST ONLY NOT AN OPERATIONAL SERVICE.
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STORM SURGE BULLETIN BASED ON TRACK FORECAST ISSUED BY IMD AT 0830 IST

Bulletin Number: 23

INDIAN STORM SURGE EARLY WARNING CENTRE

ESSO - INCOIS HYDERABAD
Received ESSO-IMD forecast at: 1008 IST WEDNESDAY 27 NOV 2013
Bulletin issued by INCOIS

CYCLONE TRACK Map

Track of the Lehar cyclonic storm based on forecast issued by IMD at 0830 IST


INUNDATION EXTENT Map

Inundation map along the part of east coast of India due to Lehar cyclonic storm based on track forecast issued by IMD at 0830 IST


INUNDATION EXTENT Map

Zoomed Portion of Inundation map along the part of east coast of India due to Lehar cyclonic storm based on track forecast issued by IMD at 0830 IST

EVENT SUMMARY
Cyclone Name LEHAR
EXPECTED PLACE OF LAND FALL NEAR MACHILIPATTANAM, ANDHRA PRADESH
EXPECTED TIME OF LAND FALL AROUND NOON OF 28TH NOV 2013
Expected wind speed 150-160 KMPH
Max expected Surge 1.75 M AT ARTHMURU, KRISHNA, ANDHRA PRADESH
MAX EXPECTED INUNDATION EXTENT 3.2 KM AT RIVER BACKWATER NEAR ARTHMURU,KRISHNA, ANDHRA PRADESH
SURGE HEIGHT INFORMATION

Details of surge heights expected at different coastal locations are listed below.

* The below listed water level and inundation extent includes tide but does not includes precipitation and river discharge.

MANDAL DISTRICT
STATE / UNION TERRITORY
 PLACE NAME * Surge (m) * EXPECTED INUNDATION EXTENT (m)
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH ARTHMURU 1.75 3.2KM BACK WATER
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH MALLESWARAM 1.65 1KM BACK WATER
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH MUNDULURU 1.62 420
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH TANMURU 1.6 370
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH CHILAKALAPUDI 1.56 480
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH NIJAMPATTANAM 1.4 420
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH TADIVENNU 1.4 400
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH KRUTHIVENNU 1.35 250
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH SOUTH OF PALLAPATLA 1.15 150
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH ARCHNDPERVANA 1.1 390
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH MUTYALAPALLE 1.1 0
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH SOUTH OF REPALLE 0.96 170
NARSAPUR WEST GODAVARI ANDHRA PRADESH PERUPALEM 0.95 0
NARSAPUR WEST GODAVARI ANDHRA PRADESH NARSAPUR 0.8 600M THROUGH RIVER
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ADVICE

This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to be taken in response.
NEXT ADVISORY

Next intermediate advisory will be issued by INCOIS as and when forecast parameters available from IMD.

CONTACT INFORMATION

Indian Storm Surge Warning System (SWS)

Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS)

Address:"Ocean Valley", Pragathi Nagar (BO), Nizampet (SO),

Hyderabad - 500 090, India.

Tel: 91-40-23895011

Fax: 91-40-23895012

Email: stormsurge@incois.gov.in

Website: www.incois.gov.in


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TEST TEST TEST TEST TEST TEST TEST
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST ONLY NOT AN OPERATIONAL SERVICE.
==============================================================================