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STORM SURGE BULLETIN BASED ON TRACK FORECAST ISSUED BY IMD AT 2300 IST

Bulletin Number: 20

INDIAN STORM SURGE EARLY WARNING CENTRE

ESSO - INCOIS HYDERABAD
Received ESSO-IMD forecast at: 2259 IST TUESDAY 26 NOV 2013
Bulletin issued by INCOIS

CYCLONE TRACK Map

Track of the Lehar cyclonic storm based on forecast issued by IMD at 2300 IST


INUNDATION EXTENT Map

Inundation map along the part of east coast of India due to Lehar cyclonic storm based on track forecast issued by IMD at 2300 IST


INUNDATION EXTENT Map

Zoomed Portion of Inundation map along the part of east coast of India due to Lehar cyclonic storm based on track forecast issued by IMD at 2300 IST

EVENT SUMMARY
Cyclone Name LEHAR
EXPECTED PLACE OF LAND FALL NEAR KAKINADA, ANDHRA PRADESH
EXPECTED TIME OF LAND FALL AROUND NOON OF 28TH NOV 2013
Expected wind speed 170-180 KMPH
Max expected Surge 2.95 M AT ARTHMURU, KRISHNA, ANDHRA PRADESH
MAX EXPECTED INUNDATION EXTENT 5.2 KM AT RIVER BACKWATER NEAR ARTHMURU,KRISHNA, ANDHRA PRADESH
SURGE HEIGHT INFORMATION

Details of surge heights expected at different coastal locations are listed below.

* The below listed water level and inundation extent includes tide but does not includes precipitation and river discharge.

MANDAL DISTRICT
STATE / UNION TERRITORY
 PLACE NAME * Surge (m) * EXPECTED INUNDATION EXTENT (m)
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH ARTHMURU 2.95 5KM BACK WATER
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH MALLESWARAM 2.4 3.2KM BACK WATER
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH MUTYALAPALLE 2.4 400
NARSAPUR WEST GODAVARI ANDHRA PRADESH PERUPALEM 2.32 620
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH SOUTH OF PALLAPATLA 2 720
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH MUNDULURU 2 530
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH KRUTHIVENNU 2 625
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH TANMURU 1.95 580
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH TADIVENNU 1.92 600
NARSAPUR WEST GODAVARI ANDHRA PRADESH NARSAPUR 1.9 1.7 KM THROUGH RIVER
RAZOLE EAST GODAVARI ANDHRA PRADESH DEGAMARRU 1.85 480
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH ARCHNDPERVANA 1.8 700
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH SOUTH OF REPALLE 1.75 520
MACHILIPATNAM KRISHNA ANDHRA PRADESH CHILAKALAPUDI 1.72 480
RAZOLE EAST GODAVARI ANDHRA PRADESH RAZOLE 1.7 220
RAZOLE EAST GODAVARI ANDHRA PRADESH GUDIMELLANKA 1.5
REPALLE GUNTUR ANDHRA PRADESH NIJAMPATTANAM 1.4 420
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ADVICE

This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to be taken in response.
NEXT ADVISORY

Next intermediate advisory will be issued by INCOIS as and when forecast parameters available from IMD.

CONTACT INFORMATION

Indian Storm Surge Warning System (SWS)

Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS)

Address:"Ocean Valley", Pragathi Nagar (BO), Nizampet (SO),

Hyderabad - 500 090, India.

Tel: 91-40-23895011

Fax: 91-40-23895012

Email: stormsurge@incois.gov.in

Website: www.incois.gov.in


================================================================================
TEST TEST TEST TEST TEST TEST TEST
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL FORECAST ONLY NOT AN OPERATIONAL SERVICE.
==============================================================================