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This shows SST and rainfall
anomalies in the IO associated with ENSO in boreal winter. During El Nino,
warm SST appears in the tropical IO basin, SW IO, and cold anomaly in WA.
This pattern was predicted very well. For rainfall prediction, the model has systematic
bias, particularly in Indonesia region. The drought in Australia is too
strong in the model. The dipole
pattern in the IO (less rainfall in the east and floods in the west) can be
predicted basically.
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