9-member ensemble mean (1982-2004)
Luo et al., J. Climate, 2005b.
>0.9
This shows correlation skill of global SST anomaly at 3, 6, 9 and 12 month lead. You can see very low predictability in the equatorial Atlantic; a common challenge to current coupled models. For ENSO prediction, the model has high skill above 0.6 up to 1 year lead.